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Journal articles:

Kuemmerle, T., Levers, C., Erb, K.-H Estel, S., Jepsen, M.R., Müller, D., Plutzar, C., Verkerk, P.J., Verburg, P.H., Reenberg, A. (2016). Hotspots of land use change in Europe. Environmental Research Letters

Smaliychuk, A, Müller, D., Prishchepov, A.V., Levers, C., Kruhlov, I., Kuemmerle, T. (2016). Recultivation of abandoned agricultural lands in Ukraine: patterns and drivers. Global Environmental Change 38: 70-81. PDF

Meyfroidt, P., Schierhorn, F., Prishchepov, A.V., Müller, D., Kuemmerle, T. (2016). Drivers, constraints and trade-offs associated with recultivating abandoned cropland in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan. Global Environmental Change 37: 1-15. PDF

Levers, C., Müller, D., Erb, K.-H., Haberl, H., Jepsen, M.R., Metzger, M.J., Meyfroidt, P., Plieninger, T., Plutzar, C., Stürck, J. Verburg, P.H., Verkerk, P.J., Kuemmerle, T. (2016). Archetypical patterns and trajectories of land systems in Europe. Regional Environmental Change. PDF

Jepsen, M.R., Kuemmerle, T., Müller, D., Erb, K., Verburg, P.H., Haberl, H., Vesterager, J.P., Andrič, M., Antrop, M., Austrheim, G., Björn, I., Bondeau, A., Bürgi, M., Bryson, J., Caspar, G., Cassar, L.F., Conrad, E., Chromý, P., Daugirdas, V., Van Eetvelde, V., Elena-Rosselló, R., Gimmi, U., Izakovicova, Z., Jančák, V., Jansson, U., Kladnik, D., Kozak, J., Konkoly-Gyuró, E., Krausmann, F., Mander, Ü., McDonagh, J., Pärn, J., Niedertscheider, M., Nikodemus, O., Ostapowicz, K., Pérez-Soba, M., Pinto-Correia, T., Ribokas, G., Rounsevell, M., Schistou, D., Schmit, C., Terkenli, T.S., Tretvik, A.M., Trzepacz, P., Vadineanu, A., Walz, A., Zhllima, E., Reenberg, A., 2015. Transitions in European land-management regimes between 1800 and 2010. Land Use Policy 49: 53-64. PDF

Munteanu, C., Kuemmerle, T., Keuler, N.S., Müller, D., Balázs, P., Dobosz, M., Griffiths, P., Halada, L., Kaim, D., Király, G., Konkoly-Gyuró, É., Kozak, J., Lieskovsky, J., Ostafin, K., Ostapowicz, K., Shandra, O., Radeloff, V.C., 2015. Legacies of 19th century land use shape contemporary forest cover. Global Environmental Change 34: 83-94. PDF

Kuemmerle, T., Kaplan, J.O., Prishchepov, A.V., Rylskyy, I., Chaskovskyy, O., Tikunov, V.S., Müller, D. (2015). Forest transitions in Eastern Europe and their effects on carbon budgets. Global Change Biology 21(8): 3049-3061. PDF

Plutzar, C., Kroisleitner, C., Haberl, H., Fetzel, T., Bulgheroni, C., Beringer, T., Hostert, P., Kastner, T., Kuemmerle, T., Lauk, C., Levers, C., Lindner, M., Moser, D., Müller, D., Niedertscheider, M., Paracchini, M.L., Schaphoff, S., Verburg, P.H., Verkerk, P.J., Erb, K.-H. (accepted). Changes in the spatial patterns of human appropriation of net primary production (HANPP) in Europe 1990-2006. Regional Environmental ChangePDF

Kraemer, R., Prishchepov, A.V., Müller, D., Kuemmerle, T., Radeloff, V.C., Dara, A., Terekhov, A., Frühauf, M. (2015). Long-term agricultural land-cover change and potential for cropland expansion in the former Virgin Lands area of Kazakhstan. Environmental Research Letters 10: 054012. PDF

Gingrich, S., Krausmann, F., Vadineanu, A., Rudbeck Jepsen, M., Niedertscheider, M., Kuemmerle, T., Müller, D., Musel, A., Kastner, T., Erb, K.-H. (2015). Exploring long-term trends in land use change and aboveground Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production in nine European countries. Land Use Policy 47: 426-438. PDF

Schierhorn, F., Müller, D., Prishchepov, Faramarzi, M., Balmann, A. (2014). The potential of Russia to increase its wheat production through cropland expansion and intensification. Global Food Security 3(3-4): 133-141. PDF

Frayer, J., Müller, D., Sun, Z., Munroe, D., Xu, J. (2014). Processes Underlying 50 Years of Local Forest-Cover Change in Yunnan, China. Forests 5(12): 3257-3273. PDF

Schierhorn, F., Faramarzi, M., Prishchepov, A.V., Koch, F., Müller, D. (2014). Quantifying yield gaps in wheat production in RussiaEnvironmental Research Letters 9(8):  084017. PDF

Niedertscheider, M., Kuemmerle, T., Müller, D., Erb, K.H. (2014). Exploring the effects of drastic institutional and socio-economic changes on land system dynamics in Germany between 1883 and 2007. Global Environmental Change 28: 98-108. PDF

Müller, D., Sun, Z., Vongvisouk, T., Pflugmacher, D., Xu, J., Mertz, O. (2014). Regime shifts limit the predictability of land-system change. Global Environmental Change 28: 75-83. PDF

Müller, D., Munroe, D.K. (2014). Current and future challenges in land-use science. Journal of Land Use Science 9(2): 133-142. PDF

Munteanu, C., Kuemmerle, T., Boltiziar, M., Butsic, V., Gimmi, U., Lúboš, H., Kaim, D., Király, G., Konkoly-Gyuró, É., Kozak, J., Lieskovský, J., Mojses, M., Müller, D., Ostafin, K., Ostapowicz, K., Shandra, O., Štych, P., Walker, S., Radeloff, V.C. (2014). Forest and agricultural land change in the Carpathian region — A meta-analysis of long-term patterns and drivers of change. Land Use Policy 38: 685-697. PDF

Levers, C., Verkerk, P.J., Müller, D., Verburg, P.H., Butsic, V., Leitão, P.J., Lindner, M., Kuemmerle, T. (2014). Drivers of forest harvesting intensity patterns in Europe. Forest Ecology and Management 315: 160-172. PDF

Frayer, J., Sun, Z., Müller, D., Munroe, D.K., Xu, J. (2014). Analyzing the drivers of tree planting in Yunnan, China, with Bayesian networks. Land Use Policy 36: 248-258. PDF

Schierhorn, F., Müller, D., Beringer, T., Prishchepov, A.V., Kuemmerle, T., Balmann, A. (2013). Post-Soviet cropland abandonment and carbon sequestration in European Russia, Ukraine and Belarus. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 27(4): 1175-1185. PDF.

Griffiths, P., Müller, D., Kuemmerle, T., Hostert, P. (2013). Agricultural land change in the Carpathian ecoregion after the breakdown of socialism and expansion of the European Union. Environmental Research Letters 8(4): 045024. PDF.

Müller, D., Leitão, P.J., Sikor T. (2013). Comparing the determinants of cropland abandonment in Albania and Romania using boosted regression trees. Agricultural Systems 117: 66-77. PDF

Erb, K.H., Haberl, H., Rudbeck Jepsen, M., Kuemmerle, T., Lindner, M., Müller, D., Verburg, P.H., Reenberg, A. (2013). A conceptual framework for analysing and measuring land-use intensity. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(5): 464-470. PDF

Kuemmerle, T., Erb, K.H., Meyfroidt, P., Müller, D., Verburg, P.H., Estel, S., Haberl, H., Hostert , P., Kastner, T., Levers, C., Lindner, M., Rudbeck Jepsen, M., Plutzar, C., Verkerk, P.J., van der Zanden, E.H., Reenberg, A. (2013). Mapping land use intensity globally. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(5): 484-493. PDF

Alcantara, C., Kuemmerle, T., Baumann, M., Bragina, E.V., Griffiths, P., Hostert, P., Knorn, J., Müller, D., Prishchepov, A.V., Schierhorn, F., Sieber, A., Radeloff, V.C. (2013). Mapping the extent of abandoned farmland in Central and Eastern Europe using MODIS time series satellite data. Environmental Research Letters 8(3): 035035. PDF.

Sun, Z., Müller, D. (2013). A framework for modeling payments for ecosystem services with agent-based models, Bayesian belief networks and opinion dynamics models. Environmental Modelling & Software 45: 15-28. PDF

Müller, D., Suess, S., Hoffmann, A.A., Buchholz, G. (2013). The value of satellite-based active fire data for monitoring, reporting and verification of REDD+ in the Lao PDR. Human Ecology 41(1): 7-20. PDF

Prishchepov, A.V., Müller, D., Dubinin, M., Baumann, M., Radeloff, V.C. (2013). Determinants of agricultural land abandonment in post-Soviet European Russia. Land Use Policy 30(1): 873-884. PDF

Mertz, O., D. Müller, T. Sikor, C. Hett, A. Heinimann, J.-C. Castella, G. Lestrelin, C.M. Ryan, D.S. Reay, D. Schmidt-Vogt, F. Danielsen, I. Theilade, M. van Noordwijk, L.V. Verchot, N.D. Burgess, N.J. Berry, T.T. Pham, P. Messerli, J. Xu, R. Fensholt, P. Hostert, D. Pflugmacher, T. Bech Bruun, A. de Neergaard, K. Dons, S. Dewi, E. Rutishauer, Z. Sun . (2012). The forgotten D: challenges of addressing forest degradation in complex mosaic landscapes under REDD+. Geografisk Tidsskrift - Danish Journal of Geography 112(1): 63-76. PDF

Müller, R., D. Müller, F. Schierhorn, G. Gerold, Pacheco, P. (2012). Proximate causes of deforestation in the Bolivian lowlands: an analysis of spatial dynamics. Regional Environmental Change 12(3): 445-459PDF

Prishchepov, A.V., V.C. Radeloff, M. Baumann, T. Kuemmerle, and D. Müller (2012). Effects of institutional changes on land use: agricultural land abandonment during the transition from state-command to market-driven economies in post-Soviet Eastern Europe. Environmental Research Letters 7(3): 024021. PDF

Gruebner, O., M.H. Khan, S, Lautenbach, D. Müller, A. Kramer, T. Lakes, and P. Hostert (2012). Mental health in the slums of Dhaka - A geo-epidemiological study. BMC Public Health 12(177). PDF

Müller, R., D. Müller, F. Schierhorn, and G. Gerold (2011). Spatiotemporal modeling of the expansion of mechanized agriculture in the Bolivian lowland forests. Applied Geography 31(2): 631-640. PDF

Gruebner, O., M.H. Khan, S, Lautenbach, D. Müller, A. Kramer, T. Lakes, and P. Hostert (2011). A spatial epidemiological analysis of self-rated mental health in the slums of Dhaka. International Journal of Health Geographics 10(36). PDF.

Epprecht, M., D. Müller, and N. Minot (2011). How remote are Vietnam's ethnic minorities? An analysis of spatial patterns of poverty and inequality. The Annals of Regional Science 46(2): 349-368. PDF

Zhllima, E., D. Viaggi, and D. Müller (2010). Property rights of land and its perception in rural parts of Albania. New Medit 9(3): 55-65. PDF

Lakes, T., D. Müller, and C. Krüger (2009). Cropland change in southern Romania: a comparison of logistic regressions and artificial neural networks. Landscape Ecology 24(9): 1195-1206. PDF

Sikor, T. and D. Müller (2009). The limits of state-led land reform: An introduction. World Development. 37(8): 1307-1316. PDF

Sikor, T., D. Müller, and J. Stahl (2009). Land fragmentation and cropland abandonment in Albania: Implications for the roles of state and community in postsocialist land consolidation. World Development 37(8): 1411-1423. PDF

Müller, D., T. Kuemmerle, M. Rusu, and P. Griffiths (2009). Lost in transition: Determinants of postsocialist cropland abandonment in Romania. Journal of Land Use Science 4(1): 109-129PDF

Kuemmerle, T., D. Müller, P. Griffiths, and M. Rusu (2009). Land use change in Southern Romania after the collapse of socialism. Regional Environmental Change 9(1): 1-12. PDF

Müller, D. and J. Mburu (2009). Forecasting hotspots of forest clearing in Kakamega Forest, Western Kenya. Forest Ecology and Management 257(3): 968-977. PDF

Sunderlin, W.D., S. Dewi, A. Puntodewo, D. Müller, A. Angelsen, and M. Epprecht (2008). Why forests are important for global poverty alleviation: A spatial explanation. Ecology & Society 13(2): 24: PDF

Müller, D. and D.K. Munroe (2008). Changing rural landscapes in Albania: Cropland abandonment and forest clearing in the postsocialist transition. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 98(4): 855-876. PDF.

epprecht, M., A. Heinimann, N. Minot, D. Müller, and T. Robinson (2007). From Statistical Data to Spatial Knowledge – informing decision making in Vietnam. Information Development 23(2-3): 193-204. PDF

Munroe, D.K. and D. Müller (2007). Issues in multi-scale, spatial evaluation of statistical LUCC models: Examples from western Honduras and the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Land Use Policy 24(3): 521-530. PDF

Pijanowski, B.C., K.T. Alexandridis, and D. Müller (2006). Modelling urbanization patterns in two diverse regions of the world. Journal of Land Use Science 1(2-4): 83-108. PDF

Müller, D. and T. Sikor. (2006). Effects of postsocialist reforms on land cover and land use in South-Eastern Albania. Applied Geography 26(3-4): 175-191. PDF

Müller, D. and D.K. Munroe (2005).  Tradeoffs between rural development policies and forest protection: Spatially-explicit modeling in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Land Economics 81(3): 412-425. PDF

Müller, D. (2005). Stata in Space: Econometric analysis of spatially explicit raster data. Stata Journal 5(2): 224-238. PDF

Müller, D. and M. Zeller (2002).  Land-use dynamics in the Central Highlands of Vietnam: A spatial model combining village survey data and satellite imagery interpretation. Agricultural Economics 27(3): 333-354. PDF


Books and book contributions:

Müller, D. (2012) Postsocialist land-use change in Eastern Europe: Case studies in Albania and Romania. Habilitation thesis. Geography Institute, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin.

Taff, G., D. Müller, T. Kuemmerle, E. Ozdeneral, and S.J. Walsh (2010). Reforestation in Central and Eastern Europe after the breakdown of socialism. In: Nagendra, H. and J. Southworth (Eds.) Reforesting Landscapes: Linking Pattern and Process. New York, Springer: pp. 121-147. Link to book.

Müller, D. and T. Kuemmerle (2009). Causes of Cropland Abandonment during the Post-socialist Transition in Southern Romania. In: Groisman, P.Y. and S.V. Ivanov  (Eds.) Regional aspects of climate-terrestrial-hydrologic interactions in non-boreal Eastern Europe. New York, Springer: pp. 205-214. Link to book. PDF.

Müller, D. and D. K. Munroe (2009). Simulating the Effects of Rural Development Policies on Land Use: Evidence from Spatially Explicit Modeling in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. In: Pilz, J. (Ed.) Interfacing Geostatistics and GIS.  Berlin, Springer: pp. 91-104. Link to book chapter.

Babigumira, R., D. Müller, and A. Angelsen (2008). An integrated socio-economic study of deforestation in Western Uganda, 1990-2000. In: Aspinall, R.J. and M.J. Hill (Eds.) Land Use Change: Science, Policy and Management. Boca Raton: CRC Press: pp. 63-79. Link to book.

Müller, D. (2005). Entries for the Land-use and Land-cover Change (LUCC) encyclopedia "The Earth's Changing Land" on : hot-spot identification (with Darla Munroe), aerial photography, cash crops, food crops, georeferencing, subsistence agriculture. Link to book.

Müller, D. (2004).  From agricultural expansion to intensification: Rural development and determinants of land-use change in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. German Agency for Technical Cooperation (GTZ). Eschborn, Germany. Download book (pdf).

Müller, D. and M. Zeller (2004).  Agricultural intensification, population growth and forest-cover change: Evidence from spatially explicit land-use modeling in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. In: Gerold, G., M. Fremerey, and E. Guhardja (Eds.) Land Use, Nature Conservation and the Stability of Rainforest Margins in Southeast Asia. Berlin: Springer Verlag: pp. 495-520. Link to book.

Müller, D. (2003).  Land-use change in the Central Highlands of Vietnam: A spatial econometric model combining satellite imagery and village survey data. Doctoral thesis. Institute of Rural Development, Georg-August University of Göttingen. Link to dissertation (open access).


Selected other publications:

Johana, F.S., Suyanto, Widayati, A., Zulkarnain, M.T., Müller, D., Budiman, A. (2013). Local Mitigation Actions Supporting the Low Emission Development Plan in Kutai Barat District, Indonesia – Initial Process. Brief No. 35: Kutai Barat series. World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) Southeast Asia Regional Program. Bogor, Indonesia. Link. PDF.

Prishchepov, A.V., V.C. Radeloff and D. Müller (2012). Die Rolle von Institutionen und klein-räumlich wirkender Faktoren zur Erklärung von Veränderungen in der Nutzung landwirtschaftlicher Flächen in Osteuropa nach Auflösung der Sowjetunion. IAMO Annual 2012: 11-20.

Müller, D. and S. Suess (2011). Can the MODIS active fire hotspots be used to monitor vegetation fires in the Lao PDR? Climate Protection through Avoided Deforestation Project (CliPAD). Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH. Download report (pdf).

Schierhorn, F., K. Hahlbrock and D. Müller, D. (2011). The agricultural potential of European Russia. IAMO 2011. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO). Halle. (in German, English and Russian)

Frayer, J. and D. Müller (2011). The impact of agri-environmental programmes on land use and household income in south-west China. IAMO 2011. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO). Halle (Saale). (in German, English and Russian)

Hostert, P., T. Kuemmerle, V. Radeloff, and D. Müller (2008). Post Socialist Land-Use and Land-Cover Change in the Carpathian Mountains. IHDP Update No. 2: 70-73.

Müller, D. (2008). The influence of post-socialist transition on land use in Albania. IAMO 2008. Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO). Halle (Saale). (in German, English and Russian)

Hostert, P., T. Kuemmerle, D. Müller and T. Lakes (2008). Post-socialist land-use and land-cover change in the Carpathians. GLP News No. 3: 

Müller, D., M. Epprecht and W.D. Sunderlin (2006). Where are the Poor and where are the Trees? Targeting of poverty reduction and forest conservation in Vietnam. CIFOR Working Paper No. 34, Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR), Bogor, Indonesia. Link to working paper.

Sikor, T. and D. Müller (2004). Wie wirken sich postsozialistische Bodenreformen auf die Landnutzung aus? Eine komparative Analyse in Südosteuropa und Vietnam. Humboldt Spektrum 2004/1. Link to article (pdf).

Müller, D. and M. Epprecht (2004). Where are the Poor - and Where are the Trees? Empirical Evidence from Rural Vietnam. Background paper for the International Seminar `Mapping Poverty in Southeast Asia', Jakarta, Indonesia (upon invitation).

Müller, D. and M. Zeller (2003).  Simulating the effects of rural development policies on land use: Evidence from spatially explicit modeling in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Background paper presented at the 25th International Conference of Agricultural Economists. Durban.

Müller, D. and B. Wode (2002). Manual on Participatory Village Mapping using Photomaps. Prepared for the Social Forestry Development Project (SFDP) Song Da -- GTZ/GFA. Download report (pdf).

Müller, D. (2002). Land Use Dynamics in the Central Highlands of Vietnam: Evidence from Lak and Krong Bong Districts, Dak Lak province. Dak Lak Forestry Review, Buon Ma Thuot, Vietnam (in Vietnamese).

Müller, D. (2002).  Agricultural expansion versus intensification: Evidence from land use modeling in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Pacific News 19: 8-10.

Müller, D. (2001). Development of an Information System to Assess Land Use Change in Upland Watersheds. LUCC Newsletter No. 6.

Müller, D. and G. Schamel (2000).  Crop residue management as an erosion control strategy: An optimal control approach. Background paper presented at the 24th International Conference of Agricultural Economists. Berlin.

Müller, D. (1999). Crop Residue Management as an Erosion Control Strategy: An Optimal Control Approach. Unpublished M.Sc. Thesis, Humboldt University of Berlin.


Professional review activities:

Agricultural Economics;  Agrarwirtschaft; Agricultural Systems;  Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment;  Annals of the Association of American Geographers;  Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics; Carbon Balance & Management; Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability; Danish Journal of Geography;  Ecological Economics;  Ecological Research;   Environment and Development Economics; Environmental Conservation;  Environmental Management;  Environmental Modelling & Software; Environmental Monitoring & Assessment;  European Review of Agricultural Economics;  Forest Policy & Economics;  International Journal of Geographic Information Systems; Journal of Forest Economics; Journal of Land Use Science;  Journal of Peasant Studies; Land Use Policy;  Landscape Ecology; Mountain Research and Development; National Science Foundation (NSF);  Regional Environmental Change; Sensors; Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography;  Society and Natural Resources; Transactions in GIS; Yearbook of Socioeconomics in Agriculture; World Development.



Selected presentations

Employment  record


Curriculum Vitae (pdf)